Iowa State Football: Undefeated in the regular season?

It's much, much, much more likely than you might think -- if, y'know, still not being all that likely. First off, let's view ISU's remaining schedule:

  • at Army: #107 in the Sportsline 119; powderpuff
  • at Nebraska: #50 in the Sportsline 119; no AP or Coaches votes
  • Baylor: #87 in the Sportsline 119; powderpuff
  • at Missouri: #55 in the Sportsline 119; lost at home to eh New Mexico
  • Oklahoma State: #36 in the Sportsline 119, but still no AP or Coaches votes
  • at Texas A&M: #29 in the Sportsline 119; #33 in the AP; #40 in the Coaches
  • Kansas State: #56 in the Sportsline 119; no AP or Coaches votes
  • Colorado: #24 in the Sportsline 119; #30 in the AP; #34 in the Coaches
  • at Kansas: #75 in the Sportsline 119; powderpuff
Since Iowa State is #23 in the AP and #32 in the Coaches (and #28 in the Sportsline 119, although that's less relevant), if lines were set today on all of Iowa State's remaining games, ISU would be the favorite in all of them except the game at A&M, which would probably be a pick 'em. (Colorado is a slightly better team than A&M, but Iowa State's playing Colorado at home and A&M on the road.) Off-hand, I'd put ISU's chances against A&M at 50-50; Colorado at 60-40; Missouri, Nebraska, and Ok. State at 65-35; Kansas State at 75-25; Kansas at 80-20, and Army and Baylor at 90-10. Multiplying all those chances out -- which I think are all reasonable guesses based on the information we currently have -- gives Iowa State a 4 percent chance to go to the Big 12 title game with an 11-0 record. I am not making this up.

oh so lovingly written by Matthew |  these are comments, absent.


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